2015 Atlanta Falcons Mock Draft Muncher – FINAL UPDATE

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Alvin “Bud” Dupree

I’ve collected and collated first-round mock drafts from many of the top draft sites around the internet and posted who they believe the Atlanta Falcons will select with the eighth overall pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.

In the end, 318 mock drafts were “munched” to see which player(s) were projected to be selected by the Atlanta Falcons in the first round of the 2015 NFL Draft. It was clear that the majority of mock drafters felt the Falcons would select an edge-rusher with their top pick, with a total of 281 (88.4 percent) featuring some form of edge guy being the team’s top selection. The overwhelming majority of them came down to just five players: Vic Beasley (Clemson), Alvin “Bud” Dupree (Kentucky), Dante Fowler (Florida), Randy Gregory (Nebraska) and Shane Ray (Missouri).

In the end, Dupree proved to be the most popular selection for the Falcons pick, edging out Beasley by a single mock draft. Dupree appeared in 64 mocks while Beasley was pegged as the Falcons’ pick in 63 mocks.

Dupree’s stock didn’t really kick into high gear until the final month of the pre-draft process, being the overwhelming favorite in April mocks. Beasley also saw his stock rise becoming a much more popular pick as we neared the end. But it wasn’t enough to eclipse Dupree in the end.

Coming in third place was Ray, who saw his popularity wane as the offseason wore on. But he did manage to consistently appear in a similar amount of mocks each month throughout the process. He appeared in 54 mock drafts.

Gregory saw his popularity spike last month before cooling in April after reports that he failed a drug test at the Combine came to light by the end of March. His final tally was an appearance in 50 mocks.

Fowler had the opposite stock as Dupree, being the early favorite in January and February, but after the Combine seeing less and less mocks projecting him to be the Falcons pick. That wasn’t because Fowler’s stock had cooled, but rather because the majority of mocks pegged him to be selected before the Falcons were on the clock with the eighth overall selection. In the end, Fowler proved the fifth most popular among the chief edge-rushers with 48 appearances in mock drafts.

Another phenomenon emerged as the months went on: more non-pass-rushers became slightly more popular to be projected to Atlanta. In January and February, a combined 7.6 percent of mocks featured a non-edge-rusher for the Falcons selection. That improved to 12.7 percent in March before topping out at 14.0 percent in April.

Offensive linemen proved most popular when people projected the Falcons to pass on an edge-rusher with a total of 14 picking an offensive tackle. Iowa’s Brandon Scherff (appeared in eight mocks) was the most popular among the blockers. But Georgia running back Todd Gurley in the end proved the most popular non-pass-rusher, having appeared in 11 mocks. Every single one of those projections occurred after March 25.

Be sure to check out my final mock draft as well by clicking here.

But enough explanation, you want to see the mocks. I’ve posted the more prominent mocks first:

Apr. 29 – NFL.com (Mike Mayock): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – ESPN Insider (Mel Kiper, Jr.): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – NFL.com (Daniel Jeremiah): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – ESPN Insider (Todd McShay): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – CBS Sports (Rob Rang): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 30 – Draft Countdown: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – Walter Football: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – CBS Sports (Dane Brugler): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 30 – Walter Football (Charlie Campbell): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – Bleacher Report (Matt Miller): RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Apr. 30 – SI.com (Robert Klemko): DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 30 – SI.com (Don Banks): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – CBS Sports (Pete Prisco): RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Apr. 30 – The Falcoholic (Staff): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – Draft Ace: DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 29 – CBS Sports (Jason La Canfora): OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa
Apr. 29 – Atlanta Journal-Constitution: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – National Football Post: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 28 – SI.com (Peter King): DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 28 – NFL.com (Charles Davis): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 28 – Great Blue North Draft Report: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 28 – Football’s Future: DE Vic Beasley, Clemson

Apr. 30 – CBS Sports (Will Brinson): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 30 – Optimum Scouting: DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 30 – SI.com (Doug Farrar): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – SI.com (Chris Burke): OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa
Apr. 30 – Rotoworld (Evan Silva): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – Mocking the Draft: DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 30 – FOX Sports (Peter Schrager): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 30 – NFL Draft 101 (Staff): CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State
Apr. 30 – Draft Tek: DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska
Apr. 30 – NFL Draft Blitz (Alex Khvatov): DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 29 – ESPN (Kiper vs. McShay): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – Draft King: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – Draft Daddy: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – The Big Lead: DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – Pro Football Spot (Scott Carasik): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – NFL Draft Geek: RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Apr. 29 – The Falcoholic (Alec Shirkey): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – USA Today: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – The Football Expert: RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Apr. 29 – Draft TV: DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – Draft Season (Onebar): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 29 – Draft Breakdown (Spencer and Engle): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – Draft Breakdown (Luke Easterling): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 29 – Draft Breakdown (Jon Dove): DE Dante Fowler, Florida
Apr. 28 – Pro Football Scout: DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 28 – NFL Draft Blitz (Jonathan Mack): DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska
Apr. 28 – Draft Season (Lupagus): RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
Apr. 28 – Draft Breakdown (Bryan Perez): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
Apr. 27 – NFL.com (Charley Casserly): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 27 – Draft Season (Ultimate): DE Shane Ray, Missouri
Apr. 25 – Rotoworld (Josh Norris): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 24 – NFL.com (Brian Baldinger): DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Apr. 23 – NFL.com (Bucky Brooks): OT La’el Collins, LSU
Apr. 23 – Bleacher Report (Curt Popejoy): DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska
Apr. 22 – NFL.com (Lance Zierlein): DE Vic Beasley, Clemson

As I have done in the past, I’ll keep a firm tally on which players are the most popular projections to the Falcons throughout the offseason. It’s always fun to see how things change over the course of the offseason. I also keep track of “unique” mocks which indicate which mock drafts were updated and had a different player selected with the Falcons pick. Often you will see draft sites that publish frequent or weekly mocks, but feature only very minor changes with each update. Keeping track of “unique” mocks prevents these sites to skew numbers too much.

April

In April, there were 136 mocks that were munched with 95 of them being unique. Here are the five most frequently mocked players:

  1. DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky (46 total, 32 unique)
  2. DE Vic Beasley, Clemson (29 total, 22 unique)
  3. DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska (22 total, 11 unique)
  4. DE Shane Ray, Missouri (11 total, 6 unique)
  5. RB Todd Gurley, Georgia (10 total, 8 unique)

March

In March, a total of 63 mocks were munched with 46 of them being unique. Here are the five most frequently mocked players:

  1. DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska (17 total, 10 unique)
  2. DE Shane Ray, Missouri (14 total, 11 unique)
  3. DE Vic Beasley, Clemson (14 total, 10 unique)
  4. DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky (7 total, 6 unique)
  5. DE Dante Fowler, Florida (3 total, 2 unique)

February

For the month of February, 58 mocks were munched, with 42 being unique. Here are the five most frequently mocked players:

  1. DE Dante Fowler, Florida (17 total, 11 unique)
  2. DE Vic Beasley, Clemons (12 total, 8 unique)
  3. DE Shane Ray, Missouri (11 total, 7 unique)
  4. DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska (8 total, 8 unique)
  5. DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky (5 total, 4 unique)

January

For the month of January, 61 mocks were munched, with 43 being unique. Here are the five most frequently mocked players:

  1. DE Dante Fowler, Florida (20 total, 13 unique)
  2. DE Shane Ray, Missouri (18 total, 11 unique)
  3. DE Vic Beasley, Clemson (8 total, 5 unique)
  4. DE Bud Dupree, Kentucky (6 total, 5 unique)
  5. DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska (3 total, 3 unique)

 

About the Author

Aaron Freeman
Founder of FalcFans.com

3 Comments on "2015 Atlanta Falcons Mock Draft Muncher – FINAL UPDATE"

  1. Miami_DirtyBird | January 29, 2015 at 10:03 am |

    If Gregory and Ray are gone by #8 then all I can do is hope that one of the two top QBs has fallen to us so we can trade back into the teens.
    #8 is too high for Beasley and Fowler. Fowler had a unimpressive (5.5 sacks in the regular season) run in his last year qith Florida, and Beasley is too undersized to play in Quinn’s 4-3. As a matter of fact, both are better suited for a 3-4.

  2. I disagree. If Fowler falls to us, I’m running to the podium with my pick. I don’t think he’ll make it out if the top five. Gregory is an OLB, he’s too small right now to play DE. Now, my board is Fowler, Ray, Beasley, Dupree then MAYBE Gregory. I’ll probably change it before draft say. Gregory has the most question marks for me. I see him as more of a project. I’d be fine with him if the other four are gone, good thing about it is we need OLBs AND DEs.

  3. Now that we have a bonafide edge rusher, in the second round I look for the Falcons to make their second round selection from the following pool of players: OT’s La’el Collins & Jake Fisher, TE Maxx Williams, RB’s Tevin Coleman & Ameer Abdullah and CB’s Eric Rowe & Ronald Darby. If by some slim margin all seven of these guys are gone by the time the Falcons select then either DE Randy Gregory or SS Landon Collins. My top three would be Tevin Coleman, La’el Collins then Eric Rowe.

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