Here we go, the final mock draft. This is the one that I want you to judge me by, so that when I’ve only managed to get a handful of these picks correct, you can finally understand just how fruitless trying to
guess predict how the 2015 NFL Draft will go.
I enjoy doing mock drafts as they are fun and interesting to look at. But the thing I always continue to stress is that nobody should put any stock into them. As I’ve noted before, even the most accurate mock draft is wrong at least 75 percent of the time when it comes to correctly picking the right player to the right team.
If you see a mock and disagree with a pick, that’s fine but never get bent out of a shape over someone else’s guess. Although my crusade to stop folks from putting stock in mock drafts is probably just as fruitless as mock drafts themselves.
But anyway, enough of my lecture. You want to know who I think all 32 teams will select. You can view my past mocks by clicking the following links:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – QB Jameis Winston, Florida State
It’s been “Famous Jameis” all the way. Since the Combine, he’s been the guy that they’ve locked on.
2. Tennessee Titans – QB Marcus Mariota, Oregon
While I’ve maintained throughout the offseason that this pick would be a shock, there’s simply too much smoke to think that the Titans could pass on him if they aren’t able to trade down. But I still maintain there is a very real possibility that they move back.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars – DE Dante Fowler, Florida
I’ve gone back and forth with the Jaguars over whether they’d select Fowler or Vic Beasley at this spot. In the end, I’ll go back to Fowler at this spot.
4. Oakland Raiders – DT Leonard Williams, USC
As I noted last week, the brass in Oakland scorn taking wide receivers in the first round, let alone with a top five pick. I think they take the difference-maker along the defensive line in Williams.
5. Washington Redskins – OLB Bud Dupree, Kentucky
Like the Titans, I think there’s a strong possibility that the Redskins move back, potentially swapping with a team like the Falcons. But if they stay put, they’ll take a pass-rusher most likely.
6. New York Jets – WR Amari Cooper, Alabama
If the Jets don’t land Mariota, then they’ll likely take a pass-rusher or a wide receiver. Although one can certainly argue that pass-rusher is the larger need, I’m not sure they’ll be in love with any of the guys near the top.
7. Chicago Bears – WR Kevin White, West Virginia
The Bears get the replacement for Brandon Marshall, by getting a younger, more explosive player in White.
8. Atlanta Falcons – DE Vic Beasley, Clemson
This may simply be wishful thinking on my part, but the recent buzz is that teams around the league don’t love Beasley as much as some recent FalcFans podcast guests might. If that’s the case, then there’s a sliver of a chance that the Falcons get their man here. I’m also calculating the possibility that the Falcons move up to five and get Beasley as well.
9. New York Giants – OT Brandon Scherff, Iowa
There’s been recent buzz that the Giants will target another one of the tackles at this spot. But Scherff just seems to perfect a fit for what they are looking for at this position.
10. St. Louis Rams – OT Andrus Peat, Stanford
The Rams need offensive line help, and Peat provides it.
11. Minnesota Vikings – CB Trae Waynes, Michigan State
The Vikings want another big corner to line up across from Xavier Rhodes, and Waynes is a near-perfect fit.
12. Cleveland Browns – WR DeVante Parker, Louisville
If the Browns can’t move up for Mariota, then they’ll settle for a guy like Parker here, where they can add some much-needed youth and speed at wide receiver.
13. New Orleans Saints – DT Danny Shelton, Washington
I’m not sure most teams value Shelton enough to take him in the top 15, but I think the Saints might be the exception given their desire to improve one of the league’s worst defenses.
14. Miami Dolphins – RB Todd Gurley, Georgia
The Dolphins are looking to take pressure of quarterback Ryan Tannehill, and thus drafting a potential workhorse like Gurley makes sense.
15. San Francisco 49ers – CB Kevin Johnson, Wake Forest
The 49ers’ cornerbacks are currently among the worst in the league. Getting a guy like JOhnson that can contribute immediately will be critical.
16. Houston Texans – CB Jalen Collins, LSU
Collins carries some medical red flags, but really they’re drafting him for 2016, not 2015.
17. San Diego Chargers – OT Jake Fisher, Oregon
The Chargers need to beef up their offensive line to keep Phillip Rivers upright.
18. Kansas City Chiefs – CB Marcus Peters, Washington
Andy Reid is known for taking chances on “character risks” like Peters. Not to mention, he’s a perfect fit for their press-heavy coverage scheme.
19. Cleveland Browns – DT Eddie Goldman, Florida State
The Browns appear prepared to move on from Phil Taylor next year, so adding his replacement this year makes sense.
20. Philadelphia Eagles – WR Breshad Perriman, Central Florida
Chip Kelly likes his receivers with size and speed, and there’s arguably no better combo in this draft than Perriman.
21. Cincinnati Bengals – DT Malcom Brown, Texas
I had them pegged for La’el Collins, but his recent “incident,” might cause him to fall in the draft. So they’ll “settle” for Brown instead.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers – CB Byron Jones, Connecticut
The Steelers need help in their secondary and Jones provides it.
23. Detroit Lions – RB Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin
Along with Gurley, Gordon is the rare sort of running back prospect that merits a first-round pick.
24. Arizona Cardinals – DE Arik Armstead, Oregon
Cardinals are more than happy in taking a Calais Campbell clone this late in the first round.
25. Carolina Panthers – OT D.J. Humphries, Florida
The Panthers need a guy that can step onto the field at left tackle from day one.
26. Baltimore Ravens – WR Nelson Agholor, USC
The Ravens get their explosive wide out to replace Torrey Smith.
27. Dallas Cowboys – S Landon Collins, Alabama
The Cowboys sport two of the worst starting safeties in the entire NFL.
28. Denver Broncos – S Damarious Randall, Arizona State
The Broncos get a ball-hawking free safety to team with T.J. Ward.
29. Indianapolis Colts – OT Ereck Flowers, Miami (FL)
The Colts finally get that much-needed upgrade on their offensive line.
30. Green Bay Packers – DE Randy Gregory, Nebraska
This is a long shot pick, but I could see the Packers not passing up on a pass-rusher like Gregory given their woes there over the years.
31. New Orleans Saints – DE Shane Ray, Missouri
Saints continue their defensive rebuild by taking another edge-rusher.
32. New England Patriots – CB Eric Rowe, Utah
The Patriots are probably going to trade out of this pick, but if they stick, they’ll see who falls and can help them on defense.