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Pudge’s Power Rankings – Week 1

September 5th, 2006 Comments off

I’m at a point now where I trust the formula, and I simply just plug in the numbers. The results are just there. So it’s not homerism that governs why the Falcons overall grade has risen significantly (or at least I like to believe it is not) in the past month or so. Just the team has seemingly made strides in certain areas (particularly run defense) that make them a better team now than before.

But here are the rankings prior to Week 1. Although this rating system is not meant to predict wins and losses, if it does hold true based on that, then these teams should win in Week 1:

Steelers over Dolphins
Panthers over Falcons
Bucs over Ravens
Patriots over Bills
Broncos over Rams
Saints over Browns
Titans over Jets
Eagles over Titans*
Seahawks over Lions*
Bears over Packers*
Cowboys over Jaguars
Cardinals over 49ers*
Giants over Colts
Redskins over Vikings*
Chargers over Raiders

Asterisks (*) indicate the games that should be blowouts. Also you’ll notice that the Steelers are the only team that is weaker than their opponent, but still win. I based that on the difference in their overall grades being so small (0.13) and the fact the Steelers are playing at home. Of course, I’m not standing by these predictions, just saying that if my ranking system were designed to predict which teams would win, then it should go like that. But I’ll try to keep track of how well my ranking system performs as far as that goes. We might discover that at the end of the year, I did a better job of predicting W-Ls than which teams were actually going to the Super Bowl (which is what I tried to design this to indicate).

RNK TEAM          OVR   RTG   PREV 1. Seahawks      7.47  7.48   +2 2. Panthers      8.27  7.39   +4 3. Broncos       7.90  7.38   -1 4. Patriots      6.97  7.31   -3 5. Dolphins      7.10  7.31   +2 6. Cowboys       8.23  7.27   +2 7. Bears         6.80  7.27   -2 8. Jaguars       7.03  7.01   +1 9. Chargers      6.87  6.96   -510. Ravens        7.00  6.86    -11. Redskins      7.27  6.70    -12. Falcons       7.40  6.65   +413. Buccaneers    7.73  6.61   -114. Colts         6.70  6.57   -115. Steelers      6.97  6.56   +216. Cardinals     6.43  6.55   -117. Chiefs        6.77  6.42   -318. Eagles        6.70  6.20    -19. Bengals       6.50  6.17    -20. Giants        7.10  6.13    -21. Jets          5.17  5.95    -22. Rams          5.80  5.85   +123. Packers       4.83  5.71   -124. Bills         5.10  5.58   +225. Vikings       5.00  5.56   +226. Lions         4.97  5.53   +327. Browns        5.40  5.47   -228. Titans        5.30  5.32    -29. Saints        5.87  5.28   +330. Raiders       5.07  5.23    -31. Texans        4.47  5.05   -732. 49ers         4.23  5.01   -1
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