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Pudge’s Power Rankings – Week 5

October 5th, 2006 Comments off

This week, I adjusted the ratings to reflect a little bit more for where each team is in the statistical rankings. Previously, a lot of it was eye-balling, and based on a lot of expectations and carry-over from last year. Now we’re a month in, and I feel much more confident stating that even if a team finished 9th against the run last year, but is currently ranked 22nd, their run defense isn’t very good.

I’m sure many of you will look at some of these rankings, notice the huge climbs and falls for a few teams, and think I’m crazy. I probably am. It’s a formula. I trust it enough that I don’t try too much to bias it with my subjective point of view. We’ll see how it holds up in the weeks to come. This week I’ve decided to give you where each team scores offensively (OFF) and defensively (DEF). Remember that it’s not so reflected in the OFF and DEF grades, but moreso in the overall (OVR) grade that teams that run the ball well and stop the run have higher grades. It’s interesting to note that according to this, all 4 NFC East teams rank in the Top 5 offenses in the league.

Week 4 Results
Predictions: 11-3
Blowouts: 2 of 3 correct
Non-blowouts: 7 of 11 correct

Season Totals
Predictions: 39-21
Blowouts: 6 of 15 correct
Non-blowouts: 35 of 45 correct

Week 5 Predictions
Vikings over Lions
Colts over Titans
Rams over Packers
Bears over Bills
Panthers over Browns
Redskins over Giants
Saints over Bucs
Patriots over Dolphins
49ers over Raiders
Jaguars over Jets
Chiefs over Cardinals
Eagles over Cowboys
Chargers over Steelers
Ravens over Broncos

No blow-outs predicted this week, although I’m sure a week from today, I’ll look back and regret that.

RNK TEAM           OFF  DEF  OVR  RTG  PREV 1. Chargers       7.4  8.4  8.27 7.87  +2 2. Bears          6.3  7.4  7.27 7.71  -1 3. Jaguars        6.3  6.9  6.90 7.07  -1 4. Patriots       6.3  5.8  6.73 7.01 +10 5. Ravens         5.3  9.0  7.43 7.00  +1 6. Cowboys        7.4  7.4  7.60 6.91  +7 7. Eagles         7.9  5.3  7.47 6.84  +5 8. Bills          6.4  5.8  6.47 6.79  +9 9. Redskins       7.9  5.8  7.13 6.78  +210. Falcons        7.0  7.4  7.50 6.74  +611. Dolphins       5.8  5.8  5.90 6.66  +212. Jets           5.7  5.3  5.90 6.60  +613. Vikings        6.3  5.8  6.47 6.56  -314. Seahawks       5.8  5.8  6.07 6.45  -715. Saints         6.8  5.8  7.17 6.37  +516. Panthers       6.3  5.3  6.63 6.33 -1117. Colts          6.8  5.2  6.40 6.33  +218. Steelers       5.8  7.4  6.73 6.33  -319. Broncos        6.4  5.3  6.13 6.24 -1520. Bengals        6.3  5.7  6.50 6.23 -1221. Chiefs         6.4  5.8  6.40 6.08  +422. Rams           6.3  4.7  6.07 6.04  -123. Packers        5.2  5.3  5.33 6.04   -24. 49ers          5.8  4.8  5.57 5.98  +425. Giants         7.9  5.3  6.67 5.95  -126. Lions          5.2  4.8  5.30 5.87   -27. Cardinals      4.7  4.2  4.80 5.43  -528. Texans         4.7  3.7  4.70 5.35  +329. Browns         4.2  5.2  5.33 5.28   -30. Titans         4.2  4.2  4.83 5.24   -31. Raiders        4.8  4.7  5.00 5.20  +132. Buccaneers     4.2  5.2  5.67 5.16  -5
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