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Playoffs 2016 Season

Posted: Sun Jan 08, 2017 9:15 pm
by dwmyers
Around this time of year I calculate playoff odds, and I have a system I determined by doing logistic regressions of parameters until I found three that were significant to > 95%. I'll note most offensive and defensive stats aren't that predictive. But three stats are. Home field advantage, strength of schedule, and previous playoff experience. The nitty gritty is on my blog.

But to note, by my formulas Atlanta is seen as having no playoff experience in the past three years and Seattle has some. But Seattle played the weakest schedule of any NFC team. So the formula predicts a Falcons win, with a 3.5 point margin.