RobertAP wrote:
Having one of the big 3 neutralized is fine, provided people aren't dropping passes. Keep in mind that Julio neutralized himself as much as Denver neutralized him. 2 or 3 drops last night for Julio, including a perfectly thrown long TD.
Disagree. The Falcons cannot afford for Jones to be neutralized, because he is the playmaker of the group. If one of the Big 3 you can afford to be neutralized, it's Gonzo because he's not a big play threat.
Because this team is going to be a very one-dimensional offense this year, they are going to have to find ways to get the ball into their playmakers hands this year, and that is especially true for Julio Jones. IMHO, it's comparable to the Giants last year, where the Giants had Cruz, Nicks, and Manningham. Cruz and Nicks were the Top 2 of their 3 weapons, and they needed to be able to consistently get them the ball because they were their most dynamic.
If opponents can neutralize Julio, then the dynamism of their offense reduces by like 50%, because essentially Julio is 50% of their dynamic plays.
According to Advanced NFL Stats, thru 2 games, Jones and Gonzo both have 16 targets. 6 (or 37.5%) of those targets for Jones were downfield (15+ yard throws). 0, I repeat zero have been downfield for Gonzo.
Without Jones ability to generate big plays, the Falcons offense is essentially the same boring offense that Mularkey ran for years that couldn't make big plays. This is evidenced by the fact that the offense basically only generated 14 points against the Broncos. 13 points off turnovers, but in terms of being able to generate points themselves, the offense only put up 14 points. That's not going to cut it most weeks. And in games where the Falcons don't go +4 on the TO ratio, that is concerning...