Yeah, they outplayed us in the first game. You could duplicate the exact circumstances at the end of that game (3rd down run, punt, Ryan bomb, and Bryant FG) and probably the odds are that you could wind up with the result that actually happened maybe 3 out of 100 times. It was very flukey.
The Falcons failed this test. They had a layoff between last game and this one, and had an opportunity to duplicate playoff circumstances (with a first round bye, which they are definitely getting), and they came out very lackluster.
Unless they bounce back with a strong performance against the Giants, you might as well write off this team's Super Bowl chances. Maybe they get lucky and get a favorable matchup in Round 2 and eke out that game, but that's about all we can hope for this year.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.