I know it's not a popular opinion, but I don't think that Vick will ever be a "top" passer. I'm looking at some of the other young passers coming up in the league in Vick's peer group, and I think all are going to surpass him or if they already are better will widen the gulf between themselves in terms of being a pure passer. These guys I'm looking at are Drew Brees, Carson Palmer, Byron Leftwich, David Carr, Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Harrington, and potentially Grossman, Chris Simms, Philip Rivers, J.P. Losman, Boller, Drew Henson, Alex Smith, Aaron Rodgers, and Charlie Frye. Not to mention throw in another half dozen or so players currently still in college and HS that will come into the league in the near future. All those guys I mentioned are like Vick, 26 years old and less, and I'm saying that over the next 5 years, probably 10+ of those 16 names I mentioned will be considered the top passers in the league like the elder guys like Manning, Brady, Favre, Delhomme, Culpepper, McNabb, McNair, Pennington, etc. are considered now.
So this is not to say I don't think Vick will improve, but if you're judging him based on his peers, for his entire career he's probably never going to be considered more than average to above average among starting QBs.
I also believe we are a few years away from seeing Vick win a game with his arm. I still consider Chris Chandler on his better days to be heads and heels above Vick in terms of a passer. You knew going into a game that if Chandler was forced to throw the ball 40 times in a game, the Falcons could still win, and did so vs. the Packers in 2001. Chandler was 2-1 as a Falcon when he threw 40 or more times in a game. Vick, thus far, is 0-1-1.
I'm just saying, that I don't foresee seing a boxscore with Vick at the helm saying that Vick threw the ball over 40 times, threw for over 300 yards and multiple TDs and the Falcons actually won the game.
I think Vick is going to have a career path similar to Randall Cunningham. He developed enough in his late 20s so that he was effective running the offense, but he didn't really become a good passer until later in his career when he could no longer use his legs. Interestingly enough, Cunningham didn't take the Eagles to the 2nd round of the playoffs until his 7th year in the league, which was the season after he suffered that horrendous knee injury.
Vick of course is already ahead of Cunningham in terms of success. And I do hope I'm absolutely wrong in that the Falcons will only take it to the next level dependent on a horrendous knee injury by Vick.
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.