PROS: Has nice arm strength that shows good zip on the short and intermediate throws. Has a quick release and has good touch and accuracy and does very well on the short, quick timing-based throws. Can build a rapport with his receivers and can throw the ball to where only his guy can make the play. Has good mobility and shows ability to slide and move around the pocket to find throwing lanes. Has the athletic ability to extend plays outside the pocket and throws well on the run. Is a tough runner in space and can be somewhat dangerous in the open field because he can make plays with his legs. Smart, makes good decisions and shows ability to go through his progressions. Is poised under pressure, responds well to adversity, and doesn't get tight when he's asked to play from behind.
CONS: Doesn't have great size or arm strength and in the past has had some trouble with comfortably throwing from the pocket. Underthrows deep balls and puts too much air under them at other times, making him somewhat limited in the vertical passing game. Often goes to his first read and sometimes will stare down receivers. Sometimes forces throws into coverage. Doesn't always make great decisions, throwing across his body at times when moving outside the pocket. DOesn't always keep his eyes downfield when he's moving outside the pocket. Throws off his back foot at times, and has a three-quarters release that may need to be tweaked some. Takes very few snaps from under center.
OVERVIEW: McCoy is a very good quarterback in the spread offense. He can make the quick read and throw, and is accurate. And when the pass breaks down he has the mobility to buy time or to pick up the necessary yardage with his legs. For the past two seasons he has essentially been the Longhorn's running attack. Set NCAA record with 76.7% completions as a junior. A four-year starter with plenty of experience, with 53 career starts. Has a career record of 45-7 as a starter if you discount the BCS Championship this past year where he was hurt on the second series with a shoulder injury. Production dropped off a bit as a senior, as his completion % fell to 70.6%, and he had a 27:12 TD-INT ratio instead of the 34:8 he had as a junior. Also his yards per carry fell from 4.1 to 2.7 as a senior, and he had 8 less rushing touchdowns. For his career, completed a ridiculous 70.3% of his passes, and had a 112:45 TD-INT ratio.
NFL FORECAST: McCoy isn't going to excel in every offense, but he has all the tools that down the road he can develop into a solid franchise-caliber passer. Comparisons to Drew Brees make a lot of sense in my eyes, as Brees didn't have a great arm, was mobile, and was highly productive in a spread attack in college. And like Brees, I think McCoy may undergo some growing pains early in his career. He's not great as a dropback passer, so teams will help him a lot if they increase the amount of shotgun they use (last year about two-thirds of Brees passes came from the shotgun). His accuracy isn't amazing, but it's good and I think he'll work hard to improve it, as Brees has over the years making him the league's most accurate passer. He has built a strong rapport with his friend and teammate Jordan Shipley at Texas, but I think McCoy will do the same right off the bat in his first NFL camp. HIs mobility allows him to buy time and can make plays. HIs lack of size is proabbly the one thing that hurts him, and it's why I think his release may need to be tweaked. It's quick, but with smaller frame, it means passes can get batted down fairly easily than it he was 6-4 or so. I think McCoy is capable enough to handle being a starter right off the bat in the pros. I think there will be some transition time to a pro-style offense, but I think he has the intangibles and mental toughness to handle the rigors of being a rookie starter. He's not a vertical passer, but I should stress yet. Brees and Tom Brady were the same when they came into the league, and put in the work to improve in those areas, and I think McCoy will too. I don't think he'll ever get to a point where he's an air it out kind of guy, but I think four or five years down the road, throwing downfield won't be a limitation for the team/offense he's in. My expectation is that there may be several ups and downs during his first year or two, but by his third season he will start to hit his stride as a starter. It's hard to predict that he'll eventually develop into the elite passer that Brees is today, but he does have the necessary amount of intangibles to believe it's a good possibility, if not probability.
ATL FORECAST: McCoy would have the time to develop in Atlanta behind Matt Ryan, and certainly could learn a lot from him. But he would be a wasted talent here in Atlanta. He could fit in the Falcons offense, but doesn't have quite the arm strength/vertical passing capability that the Falcons probably want in a backup to Ryan to fit in this offense.
VALUE: McCoy is worth a first round pick for a team that runs a more West Coast-oriented scheme that is looking to take advantage of his ability on the short/intermediate passing game and mobility. His long-term potential to be a top-level starter is enough to merit a Top 20 pick for such a team.
1-poor, 2-weak, 3-above average, 4-very good, 5-elite
ARM STRENGTH: 3.0
DECISION MAKING: 3.5
POCKET AWARENESS: 3.0
"Vincere scis, Hannibal, victoria uti nescis" -- Maharbal, 216 B.C.E.