Pudge’s Picks – Thanksgiving Day Week 13 2014

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Kaepernick-Wilson V

Two weeks ago, I struggled with the early games but nailed the late games. Well, the script was flipped this past week. During the early games last week, I went 5-3 against the spread and 6-2 straight up. But for the late games and primetime games on Sunday and Monday Nights, I managed to go 2-5 against the spread to give me a 7-8 record overall last week. I still managed to do well picking straight winners, finishing the week 10-5.

For the year, that means I’m 93-83 against the spread and 113-62-1 picking straight.

* All lines are from ESPN.com.

Chicago Bears (5-6) at Detroit Lions (7-4)
Thursday, November 27 at 12:30 pm on CBS

*Line: Lions (-7.5)

I like the Lions because they should be able to win in the trenches, at least on defense. But they have some injuries along their offensive line with Riley Reiff and Larry Warford beat up. That should also limit their offense, so this may wind up a low-scoring affair. But the Lions simply have too many weapons at wide receiver and the Bears don’t have their usual prescription for containing Calvin Johnson, which is Charles Tillman.

Spread Pick: Bears
Straight Pick: Lions

Philadelphia Eagles (8-3) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3)
Thursday, November 27 at 4:30 pm on FOX

*Line: Cowboys (-2.5)

Stopping the run will be critical for the Eagles, which they have done a good job of this year. But not having DeMeco Ryans in the middle could make things difficult for them. That Cowboys defense is very suspect, and I even think a Mark Sanchez-led Eagles offense should be able to move the ball and score points on them. The key is going to be for the Eagles to not get behind early. If they can do that, they can get the upset.

Spread Pick: Cowboys
Straight Pick: Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks (7-4) at San Francisco 49ers (7-4)
Thursday, November 27 at 8:30 pm on NBC

*Line: 49ers (-0.5)

The Seahawks certainly aren’t the team they were a year ago, because if they were, I’d have no problems picking them to win this game. But I do think they got a bit of a confidence boost last week with a win over Arizona, enough to think this could be the first time they get the win in San Francisco since 2008. The injuries to the 49ers defense haven’t really caught up to them because they’ve played either weak (Giants and Redskins) or soft (Saints) offenses the past three weeks. Against a team as physical as the Seahawks, I think it will cause problems.

Spread Pick: Seahawks
Straight Pick: Seahawks

About the Author

Aaron Freeman
Founder of FalcFans.com