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Pudge’s Picks – Thursday Night Week 11

November 14th, 2013

I did better last week with my picks than I have done throughout the year, particularly when it came to picking against the spread. I finished 8-6 last week, which I believe is the best week I’ve had since Week 1. I did not fare quite as well straight up, finishing 7-7.

I’m going to blame injuries to quarterbacks as the main reason my straight picks were so bad. Jay Cutler wasn’t 100-percent, Seneca Wallace got injured, and Jake Locker got hurt. Also Andrew Luck and Colin Kaepernick both laid complete eggs.

My year-to-date totals are: 71-76 (against the spread) and 93-54 (straight up).

Indianapolis Colts (6-3) at Tennessee Titans (4-5)
Thursday, November 14 at 8:25 pm ET on NFL Network

Line: Titans (+3.5)

The Colts got crushed by the Rams last week, a team the Titans beat the preceding week. But Ryan Fitzpatrick did not play in that game, and that’s the big factor in the favor of the Colts.

I do think similarly to the Rams, the Titans defense will give the Colts offense a lot of trouble. I think Indy’s offense will be better than they were last week, but not by a huge degree. The big concern however is whether the Colts defense, which has been good for the most part this year, is going to be able to keep a lid on Chris Johnson and the Titans offense. I think they will, and when you get crushed by 30 points like they did against the Rams, you should be playing a lot harder this week.

I think I’m going to regret picking the Titans to cover because of the Fitzpatrick factor, but I think the Colts will win a close game.

Spread Pick: Titans
Straight Pick: Colts

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