It wasn’t a good week for my picks, as I went 6-10 against the spread. After doing better in the month of November, I turned into Tony Romo the minute December was looming. I did better straight up, picking 10 games correctly last week.
But I’m desperately trying to get back to .500 against the spread by year’s end, and with a 92-100 year-to-date record against the spread, that means I’ll have to go at least 9-7 every week for the last month of the season.
I’m doing much better straight up, with a year-to-date record of 121-71. I’m disappointed with that record as well, since it means I’m averaging about 9.3 correct picks per week, and I think that number should be at least 10. But relative to my picks against the spread, I won’t complain too much.
Houston Texans (2-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-9)
Thursday, December 5 at 8:25 pm ET on NFL Network
Line: Jaguars (+2.5)
When Jacksonville squared off with the Oakland Raiders in Week 2, I think most were expecting that to be this year’s version of the “Toilet Bowl” featuring the two worst teams in the NFL. Well, we were sorely mistaken.
This week’s matchup between the Jaguars and Texans will certainly earn that mantle.
The Jags have won three of their last four, including a win over the Texans in Week 12 in Houston. Now they will be returning home, where they have yet to win a game. The Texans have lost ten straight games and are reeling looking for a win. They did seemingly get a boost from Gary Kubiak’s return to the sideline on Sunday, losing a close one to the Patriots at home. If the Texans play like that again this week, they shouldn’t have too much trouble beating the Jaguars.
Spread Pick: Texans
Straight Pick: Texans