Things are off to a good start as I indicated last week I’d need to pick at least 9 games correctly against the spread in the last four weeks to get my season record to .500.
Well I went 9-7 last week against the spread, bringing my season total to 101-107.
Straight up, my picks were 11-5 last week, bringing my season total to 132-76. There’s really no benchmark I’m trying to hit there at this point, although I’d like to hit double-digit wins every week for the remainder of the season.
San Diego Chargers (6-7) at Denver Broncos (11-2)
Thursday, December 12 at 8:25 pm ET on NFL Network
Line: Broncos (-10.5)
The question really isn’t whether San Diego can beat Denver. Not unless something catastrophic happens, is that really fathomable. The real question is whether San Diego covers the spread.
They can but only if they can score in the red zone, something they struggled to do last time when they lost to the Broncos by 8 points at home. I suspect history will repeat itself and I expect this week’s Broncos team to score a lot more than 28 points. The main fear is the backdoor cover by the Chargers, which is always possible against a weak Broncos defense. Especially if Keenan Allen has a big night, which he did not have last time. I’d like San Diego’s chances better if they were at home.
Spread Pick: Broncos
Straight Pick: Broncos