Pudge’s Picks – Thursday Night Week 3

Not a very good week for me in Week 2. I went 7-9 against the spread, but 11-5 on my straight picks. That brings my season record to 18-14 against the spread, and 25-7 straight up. I will have to try and bounce back with a stronger week this wee

So I need to come through tonight. Although in Week 1, I missed on the Thursday Night game and killed it on Sunday. And last week, I hit on Thursday night, but got killed on Sunday. We’ll see how this week plays out and whether any trend continues/develops.

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-1)
Thursday, September 19 at 8:25 pm ET on NFL Network

The general rule of thumb is to take the home team on the short week. And I don’t see much to really go against conventional wisdom.

Brandon Flowers is questionable with a knee injury after a very tough week against Dez Bryant. And I think DeSean Jackson should be able to take advantage of that. Although he has to fear somewhat because Dunta Robinson may be patrolling the Chiefs’ secondary.

The Chiefs will likely try to mix in a heavy dose of running the ball with Jamaal Charles to try and tire out that Eagles defense. The Chargers really took advantage of the time of possession last week and were able to tire out and score against that Eagles defense. If Charles can get going, it should be a recipe for success. But if/when a gameplan favors running the football, that’s a cue to never bet on an Andy Reid-coached team. The good thing for Reid and the Chiefs is that Alex Smith has played mistake-free these first two weeks, and if he can do so tonight, it will limit the chances that explosive Eagles offense has to take advantage.

The potential of Charles to gash that weak Eagles’ run defense gives some pause about picking the Eagles tonight. But I expect Chip Kelly’s offense to get back on track, and if they can get an early lead that will take Charles and ostensibly Alex Smith out of the game. Smith has yet to prove himself capable of being able to win consistently when forced to throw a lot.

Spread Pick: Eagles
Straight Pick: Eagles

About the Author

Aaron Freeman
Founder of FalcFans.com