I managed to go a quasi-respectable 8-6 last week against the spread. That means that this week I won’t have to flip my picks since I promised that I would if I didn’t finish above .500. My season total against the spread now sits at an adequate 38-39, although that means a coin is better at picking games than me. But like the Falcons, I’m hoping I’m just off to a slow start and right about now I’ll start to hit my stride.
I finished 7-7 on straight picks last week. I don’t think I’ve ever done better vs. the spread than straight up. For the year, I’m 48-29.
New York Giant (0-5) at Chicago Bears (3-2)
Thursday, October 10 at 8:25 on NFL Network
Line: Bears (-7.5)
I’ve picked the Giants three times this year, and they’ve burned me each time. For that reason alone I’m picking the Bears. But I really don’t love the Bears in this one. Charles Tillman is a game-time decision and without him, I have a feeling that Cruz & Co. might go off. But the Giants line isn’t very good, so Eli should be under steady pressure. The Bears defense is good at creating turnovers and few teams in NFL history have been worse than this year’s Giants team at preventing them. David Wilson is also out and thus I have no clue who will be running the ball. But I also have this gnawing feeling that this is the week that JPP resumes being JPP and forces a bunch of Cutler turnovers. I’d feel better about picking the Bears if the line was 6.5 instead of 7.5. It’ll epitomize my entire year of picks if this is the week that the Giants finally look good.
Spread Pick: Bears
Straight Pick: Bears