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Ultimate 2013 Predictions

September 5th, 2013 Comments off
John Rieger-US PRESSWIRE

Ryan and Jones lead the Falcons to a fourth consecutive playoff season

The 2013 NFL season kicks off tonight, and it’s once again time for the yearly predictions. You’ll see how I project the Falcons 2013 season to go as well as my projections for the other 31 NFL teams. I’ll also try and estimate some of the stats that Falcons players will have this year. I was fairly accurate on many of those projections last year.

If you heard the latest episode of the FalcFans podcast, where myself and Allen Strk projected the playoff teams, you’re not going to see many significant changes. But there are a few, not that I’ve had a few more days to dwell on things.

2013 ATLANTA FALCONS

Final Record: 10-6 (2nd place in NFC South)

1- at Saints – L
2- Rams – W
3- at Dolphins – W
4- Patriots – W
5- Jets – W
6- bye
7- Bucs – W
8- at Cardinals – W
9- at Panthers – L
10- Seahawks – W
11- at Bucs – L
12- Saints – L
13- at Bills – W
14- at Packers – L
15- Redskins – W
16- at 49ers – L
17- Panthers – W

The rest of the league’s projections continue after the jump.
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FalcFans Podcast – Ep. 37 “What About Sanchez?”

September 3rd, 2013 Comments off

This week Allen and I have our big 2013 NFL Preview Extravaganza. But first we review the cuts made by the Falcons as well as preview the Falcons-Saints game, and our expectations for Week 1. Allen is very optimistic, while I am the opposite. Thereafter, we break down each division in the NFL, looking at potential playoff teams and ultimately make our Super Bowl picks for 2013. In the end, we get into discussion over how to get cheap Super Bowl tickets, underage drinking, and how Pitt’s football team reminds me of former Falcon teams.

Ep. 37: What About Sanchez? [Download]

Duration: 2 hours, 13 minutes

Allen writes for TJRSports.com as well as the Bleacher Report. His twitter handle is: @Allen_Strk.

If you have any questions and comments, you can hit us up on Twitter, post in the forums in the podcast thread, or drop an e-mail at: pudge@falcfans.com.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes, and be sure to rate us there! You can also subscribe directly to our feed at the following URL: http://feeds.feedburner.com/falcfans/LXSt

Takeaways From Last Week – May 20

May 20th, 2013 Comments off

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Josh Freeman looks geared for failure

The Tampa Bay Bucs are going to be an interesting team to watch in 2013. Josh Freeman is entering the final year of his contract, and recently it was reported that the Bucs wouldn’t mind seeing rookie Mike Glennon get an opportunity.

How Josh Freeman handles this sort of adversity could impact the next five years of that franchise. I think Freeman is a talented quarterback, but I’ve never thought he had the intangibles to be a top-level starter. I liked Mike Glennon a lot, as he was the highest-rated quarterback in this draft class for me.

But I don’t think Glennon will really work as a rookie starter. The main issues I had with Glennon was that he wasn’t particularly mobile, nor does he have the intangibles that I think he could flourish as a rookie starter. In Dan Pompei’s piece linked to above, they make the comparison to Joe Flacco.

I do think that fits somewhat. You may or may not be surprised to discover that I don’t think Flacco possesses ideal intangibles. Flacco is a player that I think has benefited greatly from being on the right team. In Baltimore, he became a rookie starter because of injuries to Troy Smith and Kyle Boller. He made the most of that opportunity. But I think it helped greatly how much of the Ravens were a run-first, defensive-minded team that already had a leader in Ray Lewis. Flacco essentially never really had to assert himself as the guy up to this point. Moving forward with Lewis and others gone, and fresh off a Super Bowl he will now.

I think that’s why I’ll likely always consider Matt Ryan to be a better overall quarterback than Flacco. I know Flacco has better physical tools, and he’ll make throws look easy that Ryan will never be able to make in a million years. And for that, there are those that will consider him the better player. But I think given what Ryan has had to be in Atlanta from the very beginning, a stabilizing force, that makes him the better overall player. I just believe that if you had put Ryan in Baltimore in 2008, you’d likely to get the same if not better results. If you had put Flacco in Atlanta, I don’t think he would have had the same success. Flacco reached a level the past two years (running no huddle) that Ryan was doing Day One.

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FalcFans Podcast – Ep. 28 “2013 Schedule Breakdown” Parts 1 & 2

May 14th, 2013 1 comment

Allen and I take part in another two-part episode in which we go week by week, breaking down the Falcons 2013 schedule. We look at favorable matchups that the Falcons can exploit along with our thoughts on how good the Falcons 2013 opponents will be this upcoming fall. In the first part, we look at the first half of the season culminating in our analysis of the Falcons Week 10 matchup against the Seattle Seahawks. You’ll hear our thoughts on each of the Falcons first nine opponents, as well as insights on how the Falcons defensive line and offensive lines will look in 2013 and odds that the Falcons pick up a veteran free agent such as John Abraham, Richard Seymour, or Karlos Dansby before the summer starts. You’ll also hear our breakdown of how Darrelle Revis stacks up against Julio Jones, and Ron Rivera in comparison to Mike Smith.

In the second part of our schedule breakdown extravanganza, Allen and I take a look at the Falcons final seven opponents beginning in Week 11 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We talk about how good a year Steven Jackson might have, along with whether or not the Falcons have made enough improvements on defense to handle the New Orleans Saints. You’ll also hear our thoughts on how the division race in the NFC East may shake out as well as some of the other NFC squads that could be wildcard contenders. We cap things off with our insights on how the 2013 season as a whole should play out for the Falcons.

Part 1:

Ep. 28: 2013 Schedule Breakdown Part 1 [Download]

Duration: 51 minutes

Part 2:

Ep. 28: 2013 Schedule Breakdown Part 2 [Download]

Duration: 55 minutes

Allen writes for TJRSports.com as well as the Bleacher Report. His twitter handle is: @Allen_Strk.

If you have any questions and comments, you can hit us up on Twitter, post in the forums in the podcast thread, or drop an e-mail at: pudge@falcfans.com.

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. You can also subscribe directly to our feed at the following URL: http://feeds.feedburner.com/falcfans/LXSt

FalcFans Podcast – Ep. 20 “2012 Preview”

September 5th, 2012 Comments off

Ryan and I discuss and preview the Falcons Week 1 matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in this week’s episode. You’ll also hear our opinions on the Falcon’s additions to the practice squad, as well as whether an interview of Mike Nolan divulges some question marks within the Falcons front office. During our preview of the Chiefs game, you’ll hear our thoughts on how certain aspects of the Falcons offense and defense match up with the Chiefs. Later in the episode, we are joined by a FalcFans.com forum member in Allen Strk, who helps us reminisce on past Falcon players and games. You’ll also hear some thoughts on current Falcons, as well as predictions for the upcoming 2012 season including how good we think the Falcons will be and whether or not they are good enough to make the Super Bowl.

Ep. 20: 2012 Preview [Download]

Duration: 54 minutes

 

If you have any questions and comments, you can hit us up on Twitter, post in the forums in the podcast thread, or drop Ryan an e-mail at: ryan-valdez@live.com or myself at: pudge@falcfans.com. Don’t forget to drop by every week to hear our live broadcast at: ustream.tv/channel/falcfans-show

You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes. You can also subscribe directly to our feed at the following URL: http://feeds.feedburner.com/falcfans/LXSt

Ultimate 2012 Predictions

September 4th, 2012 Comments off

The NFL season begins tomorrow, and it’s time to pull out the yearly predictions. I’ll give my perspective for how good the Falcons will be as well as predictions for all 32 teams. You’ll also see my projections for what sorts of stats Falcon players will put up.

FALCONS SCHEDULE BREAKDOWN

Final Record: 11-5 (1st place in NFC South)

1- at Chiefs – W
2- Denver – W
3- at San Diego – W
4- Carolina – W
5- at Washington – W
6- Oakland – W
7- bye
8- at Philadelphia – L
9- Dallas – W
10- at New Orleans – L
11- Arizona – W
12- at Tampa Bay – L
13- New Orleans – W
14- at Carolina – L
15- N.Y. Giants – L
16- at Detroit – W
17- Tampa Bay – W

Keep reading after the jump to see predictions on the other 31 NFL teams.

Read more…

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Ultimate 2011 Predictions

September 5th, 2011 Comments off

It’s Labor Day and as many of you kick back on your day off, I’ve been busy compiling my predictions for the upcoming season. I’ll post what I think the Falcons final record will be, as well as the records of all 32 teams, and my Super Bowl winner. You’ll also see some projections on what types of numbers I think Falcon players will have this year.

First let’s start things off with the Falcons, and breaking down their schedule in wins and losses…

FALCONS SCHEDULE BREAKDOWN

1 – at Bears – W
2 – vs. Eagles – L
3 – at Bucs – W
4 – at Seahawks – W
5 – vs. Packers – L
6 – vs. Panthers – W
7 – at Lions – W
8 – bye
9 – at Colts – L
10 – vs. Saints – W
11 – vs. Titans – W
12 – vs. Vikings – W
13 – at Texans – W
14 – at Panthers – W
15 – vs. Jaguars – W
16 – at Saints – L
17 – vs. Bucs – W

Final Record: 12-4

If you want to know what I think the Falcons will do in the playoffs, then you’ll just have to keep on reading.

Read more…

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Fearless Predictions – 2010 Falcons

September 8th, 2010 Comments off

You can click here to see my predictions for the rest of the league. But here, I’ll do my best to predict what I think the Falcons 2010 season may entail.

SCHEDULE & RESULTS

Wk – Opponent – Result
1 – @ Steelers – L
2 – Cardinals – W
3 – @ Saints – L
4 – 49ers – W
5 – @ Browns – W
6 – @ Eagles – L
7 – Bengals – L
9 – Bucs – W
10 – Ravens – W
11 – @ Rams – W
12 – Packers – L
13 – @ Bucs – W
14 – @ Panthers – L
15 – @ Seahawks – W
16 – Saints – W
17 – Panthers – W
18 – @ Saints – L

As you can see I predict the Falcons to make the playoffs and get bounced in the first round by the Saints.

Read more…

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Fearless Predictions – 2010 NFL Season

September 8th, 2010 Comments off

You can click here to see my Falcon-specific predictions. Here are my predictions for what the standings will look like at the end of the 2010 season. Playoff picks and my Super Bowl pick come after the jump.

AFC EAST
AFC NORTH
AFC SOUTH
AFC WEST
Patriots (11-5)*Ravens (10-6)*Colts (12-4)*Chargers (10-6)*
Dolphins (10-6)*Steelers (9-7)Titans (9-7)Raiders (6-10)
Jets (10-6)*Bengals (8-8)Texans (8-8)Broncos (5-11)
Bills (2-14)Browns (5-11)Jaguars (6-10)Chiefs (4-12)
NFC EAST
NFC NORTH
NFC SOUTH
NFC WEST
Cowboys (13-3)*Packers (12-4)*Saints (12-4)*49ers (10-6)*
Eagles (9-7)Vikings (10-6)*Falcons (10-6)*Cardinals (7-9)
Giants (9-7)Bears (7-9)Panthers (9-7)Rams (4-12)
Redskins (7-9)Lions (5-11)Bucs (4-12)Seahawks (4-12)

Read more…

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Predictions Re-visited

January 4th, 2010 Comments off

At the beginning of September, I added two posts to the site that dealt with predictions in terms of league standings and playoff teams, as well as predictions that were Falcons-centric. Predictions are fun to do and it’s fun to look back and see where you went wrong. First, the Falcons predictions.

I predicted a 9-7 record for the Falcons, and was only wrong on 4 games in my predictions. I flipped the Panthers games, having us win in Week 10 instead of Week 2. It was the other way around. I predicted a loss to the Bears in Week 6 and a win over the Saints in Week 8 as well.

The Falcons offense was a major disappointment from my predictions. I predicted them to finish 4th in both scoring and total offense. They wound up 13th and 15th respectively. But the defense was about on par with my expectations. I predicted 15th and 26th respectively in scoring and total defense, and they finished 14th and 22nd. They were slightly better.

My statistic predictions weren’t on, but many weren’t too far off. Matt Ryan finished about 600 yards short of his passing yards benchmark, averaging 208 yards per game instead of the 220 I predicted. Turner averaged about 87 yards per game in the 10 games he played the majority of, while I predicted him to average about 82 yards per game to reach 1317 rushing yards. Roddy White finished about 100 yards short of the 1200+ receiving yards I predicted. Turner had 10 touchdowns instead of the 12 I predicted. Curtis Lofton had 130 tackles instead of the 118 I predicted. John Abraham had half as many sacks (5.5 vs. 11) as I predicted. Erik Coleman had 0 interceptions and did not lead the team with 3. But the guy that was the free safety, Thomas DeCoud did have 3. But Brent Grimes led the team with 6 picks.

The Falcons had no Pro Bowlers, instead of the 4 I predicted (Ryan, Turner, White, and Gonzo). I had Gonzo catched 71 passes for 838 yards and 8 touchdowns. He wound up 83 catches for 867 yards and 6 touchdowns. Not too far off. Mike Peterson I predicted to finish 2nd on the team with 88 tackles. He did finish 2nd but with 109 tackles. I predicted 29 sacks allowed for our offensive line, with 4 coming on Chris Redman. It was actually 27 actually with 8 coming on Redman. I predicted Jerious Norwood to have 147 total touches in terms of carries and catches, he wound up with only 95, which was less than the number of carries I expected. I did expect Jonathan Babineaux to be among the lead leaders in tackles for loss, predicting 9 and he finished with 8.5. But he had nearly twice as many sacks (6) as I predicted (3.5). Jamaal Anderson was underwhelming. I predicted 8 starts and 2.5 sacks for him. He had 13 starts and 0.5 sacks. Kroy Biermann I thought would have half as many sacks as he wound up with (5.0), and Chauncey Davis only had 1 sack instead of the 3 I predicted.

My rookie predictions were pretty off. Jerry and Moore weren’t the factors I expected due to injuries. Owens I predicted to hae 20 tackles and a pick. He had 26 and 2 picks, and got more playing time than I expected down the stretch. Reynolds, Adkins, and Walker weren’t that far off. Although Walker got more playing time than I expected, although I was right in that it was prompted by injuries.

Now on the to the league-wide predictions:

In the AFC, Cincinnati was the only playoff team I didn’t predict, making it instead of Pittsburgh.

I missed on Philadelphia and New Orleans in the NFC, predicting Chicago and Carolina to go instead.

I predicted the right order of finish in both the AFC and NFC East. I nailed the Browns, Jaguars, Falcons, Cardinals records exactly. And was within 1 win of 5 other teams. And was within 2 wins of 11 other teams. I was most off with the Bears, who won 6 less games than I predicted of 13. The Patriots were next off, by winning 4 less games than I predicted. The Bengals, Colts, and Saints all won 4 more games than I predicted.

Of course I had the Steelers and Bears meeting in the Super Bowl, and neither team made the playoffs.

My league MVP was Brady, and it appears most likely to be Peyton Manning or Drew Brees who will win the award. I said DeMarcus Ware would win Defensive MVP, but it seems that either Charles Woodson or Darrelle Revis will win that.

I picked Sanchez and Raji for my rookies of the year. I almost picked Cushing, but decided not to. But it looks like Cushing and Percy Harvin will be the rookies of the year.

Tomlin was my coach of the year pick, but I’m thinking this will go to Jim Caldwell, Sean Payton, or Norv Turner.

Wow, I was way off on a lot of these predictions.

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