Last week, once again I hovered around .500 with my picks. But just slightly below as I went 7-8 against the spread. Thanks once again to the Lions not being a very good road team, the surprisingly competent performance of Matt McGloin, Seattle looking like Seattle again, and Jason Campbell being Jason Campbell.
Straight up, my picks were slightly better at 10-5. Carolina beating New England was a mild surprise, although a controversial call at the end sealed the win. Looked to me like a missed call, but it was compounded by the referees cowardly fleeing the stadium. I hate when that happens, and there’s a call at the end of the game, and the refs appear afraid to go against the home crowd. It’s always evidenced by their desire to get out of the stadium as quickly as possible, which they proceeded to do in Charlotte.
New Orleans Saints (8-2) at Atlanta Falcons (2-8)
Thursday, November 21 at 8:25 pm ET on NFL Network
Line: Falcons (+8.5)
Based off how the Falcons have played in recent weeks, this line should be a lot higher. My expectation is that the Falcons get beat by at least three scores in this game, so there’s really no reason to even think about picking the Falcons.
My only hope as a fan of the Falcons is that this is the week they are energized by the rivalry aspect, with the Saints somewhat beat up, they are able to keep it close. But if the Falcons were poised to be that team tonight, I think we would’ve seen some flashes of that in the past few games. The main hope for the Falcons is that Mike Nolan has some schemes up his sleeve that can confuse Drew Brees like he did a year ago, and Roddy White is for the first time this season, the Roddy of old and ready to abuse Corey White and Keenan Lewis.
Stranger things have happened in the NFL, and who knows the Falcons could pull the upset and win. If they do, it will go up on the pantheon of greatest wins ever by this team.
Spread Pick: Saints
Straight Pick: Saints