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Ultimate 2013 Predictions

September 5th, 2013
John Rieger-US PRESSWIRE

Ryan and Jones lead the Falcons to a fourth consecutive playoff season

The 2013 NFL season kicks off tonight, and it’s once again time for the yearly predictions. You’ll see how I project the Falcons 2013 season to go as well as my projections for the other 31 NFL teams. I’ll also try and estimate some of the stats that Falcons players will have this year. I was fairly accurate on many of those projections last year.

If you heard the latest episode of the FalcFans podcast, where myself and Allen Strk projected the playoff teams, you’re not going to see many significant changes. But there are a few, not that I’ve had a few more days to dwell on things.

2013 ATLANTA FALCONS

Final Record: 10-6 (2nd place in NFC South)

1- at Saints – L
2- Rams – W
3- at Dolphins – W
4- Patriots – W
5- Jets – W
6- bye
7- Bucs – W
8- at Cardinals – W
9- at Panthers – L
10- Seahawks – W
11- at Bucs – L
12- Saints – L
13- at Bills – W
14- at Packers – L
15- Redskins – W
16- at 49ers – L
17- Panthers – W

The rest of the league’s projections continue after the jump.

AFC EAST
1. New England (10-6)
2. Miami (8-8)
3. Buffalo (5-11)
4. N.Y. Jets (5-11)

AFC NORTH
1. Cincinnati (11-5)
2. Baltimore (8-8)
3. Pittsburgh (8-8)
4. Cleveland (6-10)

AFC SOUTH
1. Houston (12-4)
2. Indianapolis (9-7)
3. Tennessee (5-11)
4. Jacksonville (3-13)

AFC WEST
1. Denver (13-3)
2. Kansas City (7-9)
3. San Diego (5-11)
4. Oakland (2-14)

NFC EAST
1. N.Y. Giants (9-7)
2. Philadelphia (9-7)
3. Dallas (9-7)
4. Washington (7-9)

NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay (11-5)
2. Chicago (9-7)
3. Detroit (8-8)
4. Minnesota (8-8)

NFC SOUTH
1. New Orleans (10-6)
2. Atlanta (10-6)
3. Tampa Bay (9-7)
4. Carolina (5-11)

NFC WEST
1. Seattle (12-4)
2. San Francisco (12-4)
3. St. Louis (7-9)
4. Arizona (5-11)

Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports

Peyton Manning leads the Broncos to their first Super Bowl title in 15 years and earns League MVP honors in 2013

AFC PLAYOFFS
Round 1: Bengals over Dolphins
Round 1: Patriots over Colts
Round 2: Texans over Bengals
Round 2: Broncos over Patriots
Championship Game: Broncos over Texans

NFC PLAYOFFS
Round 1: 49ers over Giants
Round 1: Falcons over Saints
Round 2: 49ers over Packers
Round 2: Seahawks over Falcons
Championship Game: Seahawks over 49ers

Super Bowl XLVIII: Broncos over Seahawks

League MVP: Peyton Manning, Broncos
Offensive Player of the Year: Drew Brees, Saints
Defensive Player of the Year: Geno Atkins, Bengals
Comeback Player of the Year: Robert Griffin III, Redskins
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Tavon Austin, Rams
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Eric Reid, 49ers
Coach of the Year: Pete Carroll, Seahawks

Last Undefeated Teams:
Philadelphia (4-0)
Dallas (3-0)
New England (3-0)
Seattle (3-0)

Last Winless Teams:
Oakland (0-6)
Arizona (0-4)
Cleveland (0-4)

FALCONS STATISTICAL PROJECTIONS

PASSING
Matt Ryan – 570 att., 365 comp., 64.0%, 4425 yds, 31 TDs, 15 INTs, 95.0 rtg

Ryan gets another invite to the Pro Bowl as an injury replacement.

RUSHING
Steven Jackson – 270 att., 1090 yds, 4.0 avg, 13 TDs; 40 rec., 345 yds, 8.6 avg, 1 TD
Jacquizz Rodgers – 95 att., 390 yds, 4.1 avg, 1 TD; 35 rec., 340 yds, 9.7 avg, 1 TD
Jason Snelling – 25 att., 100 yds, 4.0 avg, 1 TD; 15 rec., 110 yds, 7.3 avg, 1 TD
Bradie Ewing – 0 att., 0 yds, 0.0 avg, 0 TD; 5 rec., 30 yds, 6.0 avg, 0 TD

Jackson’s presence will lead to a decline in numbers for Snelling and Rodgers in the passing game primarily.

RECEIVING
Julio Jones – 80 rec., 1265 yds, 15.8 avg, 11 TDs
Roddy White – 75 rec., 1060 yds, 14.1 avg, 7 TDs
Tony Gonzalez – 70 rec., 740 yds, 10.6 avg, 8 TDs
Harry Douglas – 30 rec., 380 yds, 12.7 avg, 1 TD
Chase Coffman – 10 rec., 90 yds, 9.0 avg, 1 TD
Drew Davis – 5 rec., 55 yds, 11.0 avg, 0 TD

Jones will be targeted a bit more this year, which will lead to him being the Falcons lead receiver for the first time in his career in both catches, yards, and touchdowns. It certainly won’t be the last time. This earns Julio his second consecutive Pro Bowl bid. Gonzalez also makes another Pro Bowl.

KICKING
Matt Bryant – 48 for 48 PAT, 30 for 35 FG, 138 pts

PUNTING
Matt Bosher – 65 punts, 46.8 avg, 41.2 net

RETURNS
Jacquizz Rodgers – 22 KOR, 24.5 avg, 0 TD
Harry Douglas – 25 PR, 9.2 avg, 0 TD

DEFENSE
Sean Weatherspoon – 100 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF
Akeem Dent – 90 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 1 INT, 2 FF
William Moore – 85 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INTs, 2 FF
Thomas DeCoud – 80 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INTs
Desmond Trufant – 70 tackles, 0 sacks, 2 INTs, 1 FF
Stephen Nicholas – 65 tackles, 1 sack
Kroy Biermann – 60 tackles, 5.5 sacks,
Robert McClain – 60 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT
Osi Umenyiora – 40 tackles, 7 sacks, 3 FF
Asante Samuel – 35 tackles, 0 sacks, 5 INTs
Jonathan Babineaux – 35 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 1 FF
Corey Peters – 35 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF
Robert Alford – 25 tackles, 0 sacks, 1 INT
Peria Jerry – 15 tackles, 0.5 sacks
Malliciah Goodman – 10 tackles, 0.5 sacks
Jonathan Massaquoi – 10 tackles, 1.5 sacks
Travian Robertson – 10 tackles, 0.5 sacks
Joplo Bartu – 5 tackles, 0 sacks
Dominique Franks – 5 tackles, 0 sacks
Cliff Matthews – 5 tackles, 0 sacks
Shann Schillinger – 5 tackles, 0 sacks

Samuel gets a chance to go to the Pro Bowl as a replacement for Richard Sherman, due to his participation in the Super Bowl. Spoon, Moore, and DeCoud all just barely miss out on the Pro Bowl as well.

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